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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-132).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to accrue 10.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has been heavily involved in his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 28.4% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's 83.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteable progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 75.1% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's 6.3 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 7.4 rate.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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