My Account Log Out

reorder

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.3 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among wide receivers with 9.6 targets.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 28.3% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among WRs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 81.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a remarkable improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 75.1% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Lions are a heavy favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.72 seconds per play.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 6.0 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a material reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 7.4 figure.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™