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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to accrue 10.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in football (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Detroit Lions.

The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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