My Account Log Out

reorder

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 77.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have only 129.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The Detroit Lions have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 59.6 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 27.1% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a big 8.5-point favorite this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: fewest in the league.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (80.0 per game).

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 79.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season signifies a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 98.0 rate.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 3.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a remarkable decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.6% mark.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™