My Account Log Out

reorder

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 8.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 27.4% this year, which puts him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 82.9% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a significant growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 75.1% mark.

With a terrific 9.8 adjusted yards per target (85th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places among the leading WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a huge favorite by 7 points.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 53.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 129.3 offensive plays called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (76.0 per game).

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™