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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 74.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 66.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to earn 9.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

With an exceptional 29.2% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 84.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 75.1% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a huge 7-point favorite this week.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has notched quite a few less air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 76.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates a meaningful decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 98.0 rate.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 3.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his efficiency in space over last year's 5.6% figure.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

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