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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 81.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 84.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a huge 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The model projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 11.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (97.0) this season than he did last season (77.0).
  • With an outstanding 74.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (94th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.
  • With an excellent 9.8 adjusted yards per target (84th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the top WRs in the league in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by the predictive model to call only 64.1 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, compiling a measly 4.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.59 rate last season.

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