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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-700/+425).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 89.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ +425.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 128.8 offensive plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.7 per game) this year.

In this contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 57.5% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

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