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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 82.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 77.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.8 targets.
  • With an extraordinary 31.5% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • After accruing 65.0 air yards per game last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has shown good development this year, now averaging 82.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 33.4 per game) this year.
  • The Packers defense has conceded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 134.0) to wideouts this year.
  • This year, the imposing Packers pass defense has yielded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a puny 3.4 YAC.

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