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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 87.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 86.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 87.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Bears defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 10.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
  • With a high 31.1% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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