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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 10.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging a stellar 57.0 yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's skills in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this year, totaling 8.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 3.24 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (69.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (83.0%).
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (44.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).

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