Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

NFL · Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.7 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 78.6% to 71.2%.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, compiling a mere 7.02 yards-per-target compared to a 8.33 figure last season.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (60.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (60.2%).
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, allowing 7.11 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the league.

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