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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 26.7% this year, which puts him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has notched far more air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered the 9th-least touchdowns through the air in football to WRs: 0.75 per game this year.

The Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Detroit Lions O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a measly 22.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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