Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Amon-Ra St. Brown

NFL · Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (29.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (22.2% in games he has played).
Amon-Ra St. Brown has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (73.0 per game) than he did last year (50.0 per game).
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 71.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 49.1.

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 78.6% to 70.9%.
The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (61.7%).

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow