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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 138.8 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Ameer Abdullah to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this game (29.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.4% in games he has played).
  • Ameer Abdullah's 16.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a noteable growth in his running ability over last season's 5.0 figure.
  • This year, the tough New Orleans Saints run defense has given up a mere 5.09 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 29th-best rate in the league.
  • The New Orleans defensive tackles rank as the worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 3rd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • With a terrible rate of 2.26 yards after contact (20th percentile) this year, Ameer Abdullah has been among the least powerful RBs in the NFL.

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