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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

While Ameer Abdullah has received 15.1% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Las Vegas's rushing attack in this week's contest at 28.8%.

This year, the shaky Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has yielded a colossal 133.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-most in football.

The Jaguars safeties rank as the 28th-worst unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders will be rolling with backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The model projects the Raiders to be the 3rd-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

Ameer Abdullah profiles as one of the worst running backs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging just 2.13 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 17th percentile.

More Ameer Abdullah Player Props

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