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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

While Ameer Abdullah has been responsible for 16.6% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Las Vegas's run game this week at 30.8%.

Ameer Abdullah has rushed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (16.0) this year than he did last year (5.0).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense owns the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 4.78 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a big 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 36.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a terrible record of 2.06 yards after contact (13th percentile) this year, Ameer Abdullah ranks as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL.

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