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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Ameer Abdullah to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this week (46.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (13.2% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a big -13.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 35.0% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projection model to call just 61.5 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Ameer Abdullah comes in as one of the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a measly 1.92 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 11th percentile.

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