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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Ameer Abdullah to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this contest (41.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.5% in games he has played).
  • Ameer Abdullah's rushing efficiency (4.87 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (89th percentile when it comes to RBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 37.0% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 28.89 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Ameer Abdullah has generated just 12.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among RBs (25th percentile).

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