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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Ameer Abdullah Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a big -13.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Raiders as the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 65.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

The leading projections forecast Ameer Abdullah to notch 5.2 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projection model to call just 61.5 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

This year, the daunting Chiefs defense has given up a paltry 80.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-best rate in football.

When it comes to defensive tackles rushing the passer, Kansas City's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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