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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Ameer Abdullah Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 63.0% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Our trusted projections expect Ameer Abdullah to garner 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 28.89 seconds per snap.

Ameer Abdullah's 31.0% Snap% this season reflects an impressive gain in his offensive volume over last season's 17.3% rate.

The Broncos safeties profile as the 6th-best safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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