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Ameer Abdullah Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Raiders are a 4-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.Ameer Abdullah's 34.1% Route Participation Rate this season illustrates an impressive improvement in his passing attack utilization over last season's 23.2% rate.The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The model projects the Raiders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 25.8 per game) this year.After accumulating 4.0 air yards per game last year, Ameer Abdullah has been a disappointment this year, now boasting -10.0 per game.Ameer Abdullah's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 3.06 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.55 figure last year.The Rams pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, giving up 4.52 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in football.
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