|
|
Ameer Abdullah Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a big -13.5-point underdog in this week's contest.The predictive model expects the Raiders as the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 65.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in the league.The leading projections forecast Ameer Abdullah to notch 5.2 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projection model to call just 61.5 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.When it comes to air yards, Ameer Abdullah grades out in the measly 10th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.Ameer Abdullah's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, totaling just 4.80 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.55 rate last year.This year, the tough Chiefs defense has surrendered a feeble 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-best in football.The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency against RBs this year, surrendering 4.82 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
