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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-138/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Ameer Abdullah has been responsible for 16.6% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Las Vegas's run game this week at 30.8%.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a big 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 36.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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