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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Ameer Abdullah Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Ameer Abdullah to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this contest (41.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.5% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 37.0% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 28.89 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Broncos linebackers project as the 4th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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