Amari Rodgers Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

My Account Log Out

reorder

Amari Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Amari Rodgers

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Amari Rodgers Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+401/-858).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +411 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +401.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans are an enormous 14.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 5th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Rodgers to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the goal line this week (14.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.3% in games he has played).
Amari Rodgers has posted many more air yards this year (15.0 per game) than he did last year (3.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Houston Texans have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.4 plays per game.
Amari Rodgers's 9.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the worst in the league: 19th percentile for wideouts.
The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Houston Texans offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

More Amari Rodgers Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow