Amari Cooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+135/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.
In this week's contest, Amari Cooper is projected by the projections to position himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.
Amari Cooper ranks in the 90th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) with a massive 64.5 figure since the start of last season.
With a stellar 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Amari Cooper places as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New York's safety corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in football.

Favors Under

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Browns, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.4% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Amari Cooper checks in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, catching a mere 57.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile among wide receivers

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