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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

While Amari Cooper has earned 18.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Buffalo's offense in this week's contest at 10.5%.

Amari Cooper's 2.9 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a significant decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 4.8 rate.

Amari Cooper's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 59.0% to 52.3%.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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