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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bills as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 6th-most in football.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to run just 61.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 53.8 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Amari Cooper to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game in this week's game (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (23.0% in games he has played).

Amari Cooper's 3.5 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a meaningful diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 4.8 rate.

Amari Cooper's 50.3% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 59.0% figure.

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