Amari Cooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 66.1 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Amari Cooper to total 7.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Amari Cooper ranks in the 90th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 65.5 mark this year.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
With a terrific 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (75th percentile) this year, Amari Cooper rates as one of the best WRs in the league in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Browns, who are overwhelmingly favored by 13.5 points.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 48.4% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
Amari Cooper's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 64.9% to 54.5%.

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