Amari Cooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 66.2 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
The model projects Amari Cooper to garner 8.2 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Amari Cooper's 63.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Amari Cooper's 57.3% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 64.9% mark.

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