Amari Cooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-152).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
The projections expect Amari Cooper to accrue 8.0 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Amari Cooper's 65.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 90th percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Amari Cooper's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 64.9% to 58.1%.
This year, the strong Ravens defense has given up a feeble 62.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-lowest rate in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the best in football.

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