Amari Cooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to notch 7.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Amari Cooper's 65.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 47.0.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Amari Cooper has been among the leading pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an impressive 5.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (69.5%) to WRs this year (69.5%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.