Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+127/-160).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Browns are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to total 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Favors Under
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Amari Cooper's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 65.2%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.2%) vs. wideouts this year (61.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.