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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 66.9 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Amari Cooper to garner 7.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Amari Cooper has notched quite a few more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
  • Amari Cooper ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 64.4 figure this year.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 52.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Denver Broncos, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.9 per game) this year.
  • Amari Cooper's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 64.9% to 60.3%.

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