Amari Cooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.10 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to earn 6.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
Amari Cooper has been a more integral piece of his offense's air attack this year (26.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (20.2%).
Amari Cooper has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (101.0 per game) than he did last year (85.0 per game).
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Amari Cooper's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.9% to 63.2%.
The New Orleans Saints safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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