Amari Cooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+202/-308).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +246 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +202.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Amari Cooper has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 28.1% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
Amari Cooper has accumulated far more air yards this season (105.0 per game) than he did last season (79.0 per game).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Amari Cooper's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 62.5%.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-least passing TDs in football to wideouts: 0.43 per game this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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