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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+202/-308).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +246 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +202.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Amari Cooper has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 28.1% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Amari Cooper has accumulated far more air yards this season (105.0 per game) than he did last season (79.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Amari Cooper's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 62.5%.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-least passing TDs in football to wideouts: 0.43 per game this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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