Amari Cooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-350).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (26.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).
Amari Cooper has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (79.0 per game).
Amari Cooper's 65.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 47.0.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Amari Cooper grades out in the 91st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.50 per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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