Amari Cooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-429).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +276 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +260.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game efficiency when facing better conditions this week.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (23.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.4% in games he has played).
Amari Cooper has accrued a whopping 78.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile among WRs.
Amari Cooper's 47.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 76th percentile for WRs.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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