Amari Cooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-325).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
Amari Cooper has notched far more air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (85.0 per game).
Amari Cooper's 67.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 50.3.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (19.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (25.5% in games he has played).
Amari Cooper's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 63.9%.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (64.7%) versus wide receivers this year (64.7%).
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 2nd-least TDs through the air in the league to WRs: 0.50 per game this year.

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