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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+116/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +144 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Amari Cooper has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 23.9% this year, which places him in the 88th percentile among WRs.

Amari Cooper has compiled many more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (85.0 per game).

Amari Cooper's 65.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 50.3.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.9%) versus wide receivers this year (63.9%).

The Houston Texans defense has yielded the least passing TDs in football to wideouts: 0.36 per game this year.

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