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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+187/-278).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +220 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +187.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Amari Cooper has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.6% this year, which places him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Amari Cooper's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 65.2%.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.2%) vs. wideouts this year (61.2%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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