Amari Cooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+187/-278).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +220 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +187.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Amari Cooper has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.6% this year, which places him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Amari Cooper's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 65.2%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.2%) vs. wideouts this year (61.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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