Amari Cooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Amari Cooper

NFL · Player Props

Amari Cooper

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Amari Cooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+158/-228).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +208 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Amari Cooper has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 28.1% this year, which places him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
Amari Cooper has accrued far more air yards this season (105.0 per game) than he did last season (79.0 per game).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Amari Cooper's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.7% to 64.3%.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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