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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Saints being an enormous 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect Alvin Kamara to total 18.9 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

After accounting for 53.6% of his team's run game usage last season, Alvin Kamara has been called on more in the run game this season, now accounting for 64.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a very bad record of 2.38 yards after contact (5th percentile) this year, Alvin Kamara rates as one of the least formidable RBs in the league.

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