My Account Log Out

reorder

Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 5th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (43.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 136.9 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to notch 20.0 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Alvin Kamara has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (65.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (53.6%).

Alvin Kamara has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (57.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Alvin Kamara rates as one of the bottom RBs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.63 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile.

The Browns linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in football this year with their run defense.

More Alvin Kamara Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™