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Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-145/+115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ +115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 5-point advantage, the Saints are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the league last year, averaging a monstrous 60.9 plays per game.The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to garner 12.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.Alvin Kamara has earned 53.6% of his offense's run game usage last year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Alvin Kamara rates as one of the weakest RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.51 yards-after-contact last year while grading out in the 12th percentile.As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's collection of DEs has been exceptional last year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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