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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Saints this year (a monstrous 65.5 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to earn 15.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Alvin Kamara has garnered 60.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Alvin Kamara has averaged 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (89th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

The Chicago Bears defense has produced the best efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up just 3.44 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Bears safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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