Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Saints offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to earn 12.5 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Alvin Kamara has received 55.7% of his team's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Alvin Kamara has generated 58.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (83rd percentile).

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Alvin Kamara's running effectiveness (3.93 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (24th percentile when it comes to RBs).
Alvin Kamara has been among the worst RBs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.72 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 18th percentile.

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