Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to accrue 18.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to be much less involved in his team's running game in this contest (39.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.9% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
With a lousy rate of 2.47 yards after contact (12th percentile) this year, Alvin Kamara has been as one of the least effective RBs in the league.

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