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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to accrue 16.7 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • Alvin Kamara has received 58.4% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Alvin Kamara has grinded out 67.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (86th percentile).
  • The Baltimore Ravens linebackers profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup QB Andy Dalton this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 42.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Alvin Kamara has been among the bottom running backs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.64 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 12th percentile.

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