Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to accrue 16.7 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Alvin Kamara has received 58.4% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
Alvin Kamara has grinded out 67.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (86th percentile).
The Baltimore Ravens linebackers profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup QB Andy Dalton this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 42.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Alvin Kamara has been among the bottom running backs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.64 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 12th percentile.

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